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 July 29, 2024

Mark Kelly Leads Harris's VP Favorability Poll, Followed By Shapiro And Buttigieg

A recent poll reveals Senator Mark Kelly (D-AZ) as the frontrunner among potential vice-presidential candidates for the Democratic Party.

Fox News reported that the ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted on July 26-27 surveyed public opinion regarding several potential Democratic vice-presidential candidates.

Kelly garnered the highest net favorability, placing him at the forefront as a likely running mate for Vice President Kamala Harris, who is the Democratic Party’s presumptive presidential nominee.

Senator Kelly's favorable rating stood at 22%, with only 12% viewing him unfavorably. This gives him a net favorability rating of +10 points. Interestingly, 41% of respondents admitted to not knowing him well, while 24% had no opinion.

Comparative Favorability Among Democratic Officials

Other notable Democratic figures also featured in the poll include Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, both tied with a net favorability of +4 points. Shapiro, receiving 17% favorable views against 13% unfavorable, shows a steady presence in the political landscape.

Similarly, Governor Beshear's favorability, though lower, reflects a positive reception with 13% favorable and 9% unfavorable ratings. These figures suggest a growing recognition and approval of their governance.

Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also matched their +4 net favorability, though he is better known among the populace with 29% viewing him favorably and 25% unfavorably.

Public Awareness and Perceptions

Despite the high profile of some candidates, a significant portion of the poll's respondents are not familiar with many of them. This includes 46% for Buttigieg and 45% for California Governor Gavin Newsom, indicating a potential need for increased visibility in future campaigns.

Gavin Newsom, despite being well-known, recorded a net favorability of -12, with 21% favorability against 33% unfavorability, suggesting challenges in his public perception.

The survey highlights the crucial impact of public recognition on favorability ratings, underscoring the importance of visibility and public engagement for political figures.

Vice President Harris’ Improved Ratings

Amidst the speculation about her potential running mate, Vice President Kamala Harris has experienced an uptick in her own favorability ratings. From the previous week, her net favorability has risen by 8 points, now standing at a modest +1 with 43% favorable and 42% unfavorable opinions.

This improvement comes at a critical time as Harris solidifies her position as the Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee, having secured sufficient delegate support without facing serious challengers.

The survey’s timing and Harris's improved ratings could play a significant role in shaping the selection process for her vice-presidential candidate, influencing both public and political perceptions.

Comparative Presidential Favorability

In a broader political context, the poll also touched on the favorability ratings of prominent figures like former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden. Trump’s ratings are notably low, with a net favorability of -16, reflecting 36% favorable against a higher 52% unfavorable perception.

Similarly, President Biden's favorability struggles at -13, with 37% favorable and 50% unfavorable opinions. These figures paint a challenging landscape for the Democratic Party, highlighting the importance of strategic vice-presidential picks in the upcoming election cycle.

The poll, involving 1,200 adults and a margin of error of ±3 percentage points, underscores the dynamic and often unpredictable nature of public opinion in political landscapes.

Strategic Implications for the Democratic Party

As the Democratic Party navigates through these poll results, the data not only reflects current public sentiment but also shapes strategic decisions regarding Vice President Harris's running mate choice. The visibility and public perception of potential candidates could indeed make or break the forthcoming electoral strategies.

With Mark Kelly leading in favorability among potential vice-presidential candidates, the Democrats might see an opportunity to capitalize on his positive public perception. However, the significant number of respondents unfamiliar with many candidates suggests that there is much work to be done in terms of public engagement and campaign strategy.

As the political season heats up, these poll results will undoubtedly influence the discussions and decisions within the Democratic Party's upper echelons, guiding their approach to not only the vice-presidential pick but also their overall campaign strategy leading into the election.

Conclusion

To summarize, the ABC News/Ipsos poll reveals Senator Mark Kelly as the leading candidate in favorability for the Democratic vice-presidential slot, followed closely by figures like Shapiro, Beshear, and Buttigieg.

Despite varying levels of public recognition and perception, these figures all play crucial roles in shaping the upcoming electoral strategies for the Democratic Party. Vice President Harris's recent rise in favorability also suggests a positive trend that could impact her campaign's momentum moving forward.

Written By:
Christina Davie

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