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 November 14, 2023

Trump beats Biden in Electoral College poll

Former President Donald Trump ranked ahead of President Joe Biden in an Electoral College poll, according to Stack Data Strategy.

The survey of more than 15,000 registered voters found that Trump would currently win the total slightly ahead of the president.

The numbers

"The in-depth survey, conducted from October 13 to November 3 and released in Politico on Monday, found that Trump would garner 292 electoral votes and win back the White House in a hypothetical general election matchup with Biden, who would secure 246 electoral votes," Breitbart News reported.

"However, Biden would narrowly win the popular vote, 49 percent to 48 percent," it added.

Winning swing states

"Trump's projected victory is based on him flipping four key swing states that went for him in 2016 and then went for Biden in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin," Newsmax reported.

"According to the poll, these four states had the closest margins in 2020; Biden won Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin by less than 1% of the vote," it continued.

Key observations

“Our research is the largest exercise of its kind so far this cycle and we can confidently say that as things currently stand, if Donald Trump is selected as the Republican candidate, he is likely to win,” said Joe Bedell, head of Stack Data Strategy in North America.

“Despite recent calls for change, our polling also shows that neither party would benefit from a change in candidate; President Trump would beat both of Biden’s possible replacements by an even greater margin," he stated.

Trump also polled ahead of Gov. Ron DeSantis in the survey, whose popularity has somewhat faded since his initial entry into the race.

The survey shows that four key states could determine the winner next year, with a key emphasis on the strategic locations.

Trump's team is likely celebrating the results but there is still a long battle ahead until next November.

Written By:
Dillon Burroughs

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