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 November 4, 2025

Supreme Court expected to rule in Trump's favor on massive tariff case

President Donald Trump’s bold tariff blitz is shaking up global trade like a bull in a china shop, and the U.S. Supreme Court is stepping in to decide if he’s got the legal muscle to keep swinging, according to Reuters.

At the heart of this economic storm are sweeping tariffs Trump slapped on multiple trade partners, disrupting supply chains for companies like OTC Industrial Technologies, with a crucial court hearing set for Wednesday to determine if his use of emergency powers oversteps the line.

Let’s rewind to April 2, 2025, when Trump signed an executive order in the White House Rose Garden, unleashing these tariffs under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), citing a staggering $1.2 trillion U.S. goods trade deficit in 2024 as a national emergency.

He also pointed to the fentanyl overdose crisis as justification, marking the first time a president has wielded IEEPA for tariffs—a law typically reserved for sanctions against hostile nations.

These tariffs aren’t just about economics; they target countries for political reasons, like Brazil over its prosecution of former president Jair Bolsonaro and India for buying Russian oil that fuels conflict in Ukraine.

Companies like Ohio-based OTC Industrial Technologies, which designs factory production lines, have felt the pinch, shifting sourcing from China to India only to face equally punishing levies.

Businesses Struggle Under Tariff Weight

“We moved things out of China and went to some of those other countries, and now the tariffs on those are as bad or worse,” said Bill Canady, CEO of OTC Industrial Technologies.

Canady’s frustration is palpable, and who can blame him? Businesses are caught in a tariff trap, absorbing costs to shield consumers, though prices for clothing and other goods are starting to creep up.

According to Oxford Economics, these tariffs tacked on 0.4 percentage points to September 2025’s Consumer Price Index rate of 3.0%, keeping inflation stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s target.

Now, all eyes are on the Supreme Court, where a 6-3 conservative majority has previously sided with Trump on big-ticket issues this year, though lower courts have ruled he overreached with IEEPA.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is confident the justices will uphold the tariffs, bluntly stating, “You should assume that they're here to stay.”

Bessent’s warning to countries with trade deals—stick to the bargains you’ve got—hints at the administration’s unyielding stance, even as financial markets brace for chaos if the court rules against IEEPA and triggers over $100 billion in refunds.

Global Deals and Economic Fallout

Trump’s team isn’t backing down, already using other legal tools like Section 232 for national security tariffs on sectors like autos and semiconductors, and securing deals with nations like South Korea for a $350 billion investment at a 15% tariff rate.

Even China, despite tough negotiations over rare earth minerals vital to U.S. tech, agreed to a truce on October 30, 2025, in South Korea, halving tariffs on certain goods to 10% and pausing export controls in exchange for resumed soybean purchases.

While some see tariffs as a negotiating hammer that forced concessions from Japan and the European Union, others worry about the addiction to tariff revenue—$118 billion in net customs receipts for fiscal 2025 helped trim the U.S. deficit to $1.715 trillion, after all.

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