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 May 23, 2025

Retailers Can’t Absorb Trump’s Tariffs Forever, Prices To Rise

President Trump’s tariff plans are about to hit American wallets hard. Retail giants like Walmart are sounding the alarm, warning that passing tariff costs to consumers is inevitable. Buckle up, shoppers—prices are climbing.

Trump’s proposed tariffs slap a 10% levy on imports from all countries, with steeper taxes on Chinese goods. Retailers, already squeezed by slim margins, say absorbing these costs long-term is a pipe dream. The ripple effect could sting consumers and spark economic fallout.

Weeks ago, Walmart privately cautioned Trump about price hikes. The retail titan, raking in $15 billion in profits last year, can spread costs across its vast product lines for now. Smaller retailers, especially those reliant on niche or Chinese-sourced goods like baby products, aren’t so lucky.

Walmart Breaks The Silence

Walmart was the first to go public, announcing plans to pass tariff costs to shoppers. Trump fired back on social media, bellowing, “EAT THE TARIFFS.” Nice try, but retailers aren’t swallowing that demand—they’re passing the plate to you.

Home Depot, in a Tuesday statement, vowed to absorb tariff costs temporarily. Industry insiders scoff at this, citing the razor-thin margins most retailers operate on. Heroic gestures don’t pay the bills when profits are bleeding.

Smaller retailers face a grim outlook. Unable to spread costs like Walmart, they’re staring down layoffs or price spikes. Niche markets, like baby goods sourced almost entirely from China, are especially vulnerable.

Trump’s Team Scrambles For Solutions

Trump’s team didn’t dismiss retailers’ warnings outright—a rare moment of listening. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a trade moderate, is spearheading talks with trading partners. Compromises, like exemptions for baby items or food, are on the table, echoing the 2020 China trade deal.

Former trade hawk Howard Lutnick’s influence is waning, signaling a softer stance. Still, tariffs won’t drop to zero, even with deals. Higher consumer prices are all but guaranteed.

Market volatility is already rearing its head. A recent spike in bond yields hints at inflationary pressure from looming price hikes. Turns out, actions have consequences—who knew?

Retailers Face Shareholder Pressure

Retailers, as public companies, owe shareholders profits, not charity. If they can’t pass on tariff costs, layoffs loom. The math doesn’t lie: absorb too long, and jobs get cut.

Walmart’s size gives it wiggle room to delay price hikes. Smaller chains, with less cash and fewer products, can’t play that game. They’ll either raise prices or fold under the weight.

Consumers are caught in the crossfire. Trump rode voter frustration with Biden’s inflation, fueled by high prices and stagnant wages. Now, his tariffs risk fanning those same flames, just as gas prices dip from oil traders betting on a tariff-induced slowdown.

Economic And Political Stakes Rise

The midterms, just a year away, loom large. GOP lawmakers are watching closely, knowing voters won’t forgive another round of price shocks. Tariffs might rally the base, but they could alienate the middle class if shelves get pricier.

Retailers aren’t bluffing—they’ve crunched the numbers. From baby formula to power tools, costs are climbing, and consumers will foot the bill. The only question is when.

Trump’s team faces a tightrope. Balance trade toughness with economic stability, or risk voter backlash. For now, retailers are bracing for impact, and so should you.

Written By:
Benjamin Clark

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