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 September 12, 2025

Polls indicate Zohran Mamdani has massive lead over opponents as election nears

In the bustling arena of New York City's mayoral race, a young democratic socialist is pulling away from seasoned challengers with poll numbers that could make even the most optimistic conservative pause.

Two fresh polls show Zohran Mamdani commanding 22-point leads over Andrew Cuomo and others, fueled by enthusiastic backers and affordability pledges, as rivals like Curtis Sliwa and Eric Adams insist on pressing forward despite steep challenges from a field that refuses to thin out.

Fox News reported that Mamdani, a 33-year-old state lawmaker from Queens, secured the Democratic nomination in June by decisively topping Cuomo and nine additional contenders.

His victory stemmed from a vibrant push emphasizing the city's steep living costs, drawing grassroots energy and nods from progressives like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Bernie Sanders. Smart social media tactics, including TikTok outreach to infrequent voters, helped seal his primary edge.

Mamdani's Rise Through Progressive Momentum

Now, with Election Day under two months away, Mamdani's support hits 45% among likely voters in a Quinnipiac University poll from Sept. 4-8. That survey places Cuomo at 23%, Sliwa at 15%, and Adams at 12%. A separate New York Times/Siena College poll from Sept. 2-6 mirrors this, with Mamdani at 46% to Cuomo's 24%.

Cuomo, who stepped down as governor in 2021 following scandals, ran in the Democratic primary but lost, opting now to continue as an independent. Sliwa, the Republican nominee and Guardian Angels co-founder, seeks a second shot in the heavily Democratic city. Adams, the incumbent mayor facing tough polls, bypassed the primary to run independently.

Both polls highlight Mamdani's enthusiastic base at 91%, outpacing Cuomo's 75%, Adams' 75%, and Sliwa's 79%. "Mamdani's edge on enthusiasm among supporters is a plus," noted Quinnipiac's Mary Snow.

Yet that zeal is often tied to expansive government ideas, which conservatives might see as well-intentioned but risky for taxpayers in a city already straining under high costs.

The Quinnipiac survey suggests that without Adams, Mamdani would lead Cuomo 46%-30% with Sliwa at 17%. The Times/Siena poll envisions a head-to-head where Mamdani edges Cuomo 48%-44%. These hypotheticals underscore how a splintered opposition could hand Mamdani a win, prompting questions about strategic unity on the right.

President Donald Trump, a New York native now residing in Florida, has publicly pushed for consolidation against Mamdani, labeling him a communist in repeated statements.

"I would like to see two people drop out and have it be on one. And I think that's a race that could be won," Trump said last week. His call resonates with those wary of progressive shifts, though it hasn't yet swayed Sliwa or Adams, who remain committed amid rumors of potential administration roles.

Despite reports of Trump's advisors dangling federal positions, Sliwa and Adams have reaffirmed their campaigns in recent weeks. This defiance keeps the field crowded, potentially diluting votes that could challenge Mamdani's affordability-focused platform. Conservatives appreciate such resolve, even if it risks a tougher path to victory in a Democrat stronghold.

Mamdani's proposals include scrapping bus fares, waiving CUNY tuition, capping rents on city housing, providing no-cost childcare up to age 5, and establishing public grocery outlets.

These ideas aim at easing living expenses but spark debate over funding and feasibility in a budget-conscious era. While empathetic to affordability woes, a right-of-center view might question if more government intervention truly lightens the load without unintended burdens.

Voter priorities in the Quinnipiac poll rank crime at 30%, affordable housing at 21%, and inflation at 13%, with no other issue reaching double digits.

Over two-thirds express dissatisfaction with the city's direction, and the same proportion disapproves of Adams' performance as mayor. These sentiments suggest room for candidates emphasizing law and order, yet Mamdani's lead persists. A majority wants the next mayor to confront Trump on immigration (60%) and crime (56%), preferring resistance over collaboration.

This stance reflects deep divisions, but it overlooks the potential benefits of working across aisles on shared urban challenges. Empathy for local frustrations is key, though balanced policies could bridge gaps more effectively.

Voter Concerns Highlight Urban Challenges

"In a mayoral race that seems to grow more intense by the day, Zohran Mamdani has the wind at his back less than two months until Election Day," said Quinnipiac's Mary Snow.

That breeze, however, carries progressive policies that could gust into higher taxes, a concern for fiscal conservatives hoping for pragmatic alternatives. Still, Mamdani's focus on costs taps into real hardships deserving attention.

If elected, the Ugandan-born Mamdani would become the first Muslim and first millennial to lead America's largest city, marking a historic shift. His campaign's grassroots vigor contrasts with opponents' more traditional approaches, highlighting generational and ideological divides.

Recent sightings include Mamdani rallying supporters at a canvass event on Aug. 17, Cuomo addressing the media on Aug. 4, Adams kicking off his bid on June 26, and Sliwa speaking to Fox News Digital on Aug. 18.

These moments capture the race's intensity, with each candidate pushing narratives amid polling realities. As November nears, the question lingers: will unity emerge to counter Mamdani's momentum, or will division pave his path?

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