President Joe Biden is losing more ground in his 2024 reelection bid as key voting blocs shrink, NewsNation reported. New polls show that former President Donald Trump is gaining support among Hispanic, Black, and young voters to Biden's detriment.
The poll numbers look increasingly bleak for Biden as 2024 begins, which could signal trouble for him come November. Trump is in the lead by about 3% across the board among voters, according to a recent USA Today/Suffolk University Poll.
However, the breakdown of support signals a significant shift in how those demographics break down. Among Hispanic voters, Trump is up 39% to Biden's 34%.
Support among black voters has declined by 25% since Biden's election in 2020. Northern Starr Strategies president Michael Starr Hopkins finds this particular switch worrisome.
“If those numbers persist, the president is not likely to win re-election given Donald Trump’s legislation, the First Step Act, and his push to really do symbolic gestures in terms of trying to gain support for the African American community. He’s really chipped away at the president’s base, and that really poses problems for Democrats," Hopkins, who is also a Democratic strategist, said.
Biden has tried to improve his standing within the black community by sending Vice President Kamala Harris to drum up support, USA Today reported. As a woman of black and Asian-American descent, she's been the natural choice to send to historically black colleges to garner support.
Unfortunately, that strategy is sure to fail, considering she's less popular among black voters than Biden. Harris has an approval rating of 56% compared to Biden's 68% among black voters.
Moreover, she might be a net negative as a proxy for Biden. "It's exciting to have a woman vice president; that's cool," prospective Democratic voter Sara Falls, 46, and Oakland, California, English teacher, said.
"But ... I don't really know what she's up to. What is she up to? What does she do? I don't know," Falls added.
Biden is not palatable to a voter like Falls, and this could pose a threat as some turn to a third-party candidate. "He's not, like, my guy," she said.
"Bernie Sanders was my guy," Falls added, referring to Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders, who is a twice-failed presidential candidate. As troublesome as the data is for black and Hispanic voters, the most significant change came among voters under 35.
In the 2020 presidential election, Biden had the support of younger voters by 24 points over Trump. This year's rematch has those numbers flipped as Trump enjoys 37% support compared to only 33% for Biden.
With voters switching to Trump and possibly considering a third party, Biden could suffer an embarrassing loss. With less than a year before the general election, the Biden camp has little time to make up the ground it has already lost.
It's going to be difficult for Biden to win a second term if he can't even muster the support of previously loyal voting blocs. The president's reelection bid is in serious trouble, and Democrats know it.
