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 February 3, 2023

House GOP holds advantage in early look at 2024 election

Republicans in the House of Representatives hold a slight advantage in an early look at the 2024 election, according to Cook Political Report.

The analysis offers key insights into plans to hold and expand the House majority as part of the GOP's 2024 hopes.

The situation

"With all 435 seats up for election, Cook Political indicated in the first analysis that 42 of the seats are considered competitive, with more of them correctly being held by Democrats. But, many of the competitive seats are in New York this cycle — where Republicans picked up multiple seats," Breitbart News reported.

"Of the seats considered a 'toss-up,' 11 are currently represented by Democrats, and nine are represented by Republicans," it added.

The comments

"Republicans do have a huge insurance policy: the upcoming re-redistricting of North Carolina and Ohio, where temporary maps were used for the 2022 cycle by court order,” said David Wasserman, senior editor of Cook Political Report.

“In both states, Republicans captured state supreme court majorities in November, potentially allowing GOP-led legislatures to pass fresh gerrymanders for 2024. In theory, they could eviscerate up to seven Democratic seats — effectively doubling their current House margin,” he added.

The analysis comes as dozens of lawsuits in more than 20 states were filed over issues related to redistricting of congressional districts. Most were filed in Ohio and North Carolina.

Key seats that may be vulnerable for the GOP in 2024 include New York's 3rd District currently held by Rep. George Santos (R). Accusations about his fabricated background could come back to hurt him and the party as he considers reelection.

Republicans also don't have much room to spare in keeping their advantage over Democrats.

The hope of a sweeping red wave ended up being smaller than expected, giving the party only a slight advantage.

Much will be determined by who runs as the Republican nominee for president in 2024, with former President Donald Trump currently the only major candidate to announce a campaign.

Written By:
Staff Writers

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