Five major Democrat polling companies admitted “major errors” in their work to track American voters during the 2020 election — errors that misrepresented the amount of support former President Donald Trump received during that election cycle.
ALG Research, Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group, GBAO Strategies, Global Strategy Group, and Normington Petts issued a joint statement revealing that the companies overestimated Democratic performance during the previous election cycle.
“Thanks to the quirks of the electoral college, the difference between a new administration and four more years of Donald Trump was merely 43,000 votes cast across Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona,” the statement noted.
“As pollsters, the tremendous impact of such a small number of votes underscores the importance of continually questioning our assumptions and working to improve our methods to produce more accurate, reliable data,” they added.
Their major concerns noted polling in Republican areas as skewed. Traditional blue states were more closely monitored.
Errors noted included underestimating voter turnout, particularly by Republican voters, as well as voter preferences falling well beyond the estimated margin of error.
“Now that we have had time to review the voter files from 2020, we found our models consistently overestimated Democratic turnout relative to Republican turnout in a specific way,” the statement explained.
“Among low propensity voters—people who we expect to vote rarely—the Republican share of the electorate exceeded expectations at four times the rate of the Democratic share,” the conclusion continued.
The admission both notes the need for Democratic pollsters to adjust methods, and perhaps the need for Americans to simply ignore polls and exercise their right to vote.