July 27, 2021

Majority of D.C. aides believe GOP will reverse Dem control of House in midterm elections

A Punchbowl News survey of Capitol Hill aides showed nearly three-fourths believe Republicans will take control of Congress following the 2022 midterm elections.

The survey observed 73 percent of the aides agreed “that Republicans will control the House. This is down five percentage points from our last survey.”

In contrast, “75% of respondents say that Democrats will keep control of the Senate — up five percentage points since last month.”

The current Congress consists of 220 Democrats and 211 Republicans. In addition, four vacancies currently exist that will be determined by special elections.

The Senate currently stands at 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans. Out of the 100 Senators, 34 seats will be up for reelection in 2022.

In the same survey, “58% of respondents say enhanced unemployment benefits are hurting the labor markets. Just 24% say they are helping.”

The question follows a nationwide labor shortage many have blamed on the extension of pandemic unemployment benefits in many states.

If the survey is accurate, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) will lose her role after the midterms, but the Senate would continue to hold control in a divided Washington for Biden’s last two years of his first term.

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