Democrats already have a mountain of a challenge ahead of them in November, as far as retaining at least one chamber of Congress. Republicans are expected to easily recapture majority control of the House while doing the same in the Senate is becoming increasingly possible.
According to The Hill, Democrats are now attempting to strategize how they’ll capture a critically important open Senate seat in the state of Ohio, once a solid swing state, but in recent years, a state that has clearly swung toward former President Donald Trump and the right.
Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH) is the leading candidate on the Democratic side to replace the retiring Ohio Republican Sen. Rob Portman, but with the Buckeye State increasingly turning from purple to red in a growing number of counties, some Democrats believe it might not be easy to do.
“It’s not a lost cause, by any means. Tim Ryan is a solid, solid candidate. But when you take a look at where to put resources, Ohio is a tough call,” one national Democratic strategist reportedly said. “I’m just not so sure it’s a swing state anymore.”
J.D. Vance, the Republican nominee vying to fill Portman’s seat, has proven to be a popular candidate in the state, and he had his golden ticket punched with a certified Trump endorsement earlier this year.
“The two problems that Ryan faces in that equation: One is he’s not Sherrod Brown. He doesn’t have the statewide recognition of Sherrod Brown,” said David Niven, a political science professor at the University of Cincinnati.
The professor added: “And the other is Brown’s victories have all come in strong Democratic years. And Ryan has to do what Sherrod Brown has done in a year where the tide is running against it.”
Democrats are now attempting to figure out how much to invest in Ohio, given the current political climate both in the state and on a national level.
“There’s this self-fulfilling prophecy: We’re not going to win in Ohio because we didn’t invest in Ohio, and we didn’t invest in Ohio because we’re not going to win Ohio,” said Aaron Pickrell, a Democratic strategist and former top adviser to Obama’s winning campaigns in Ohio.