September 17, 2021

Capitol Hill aides reportedly believe GOP will retake House majority in 2022

It’s one thing for the pundits to project that Democrats will lose big in the 2022 midterm elections. It’s quite another when those closest to Congressional politicians make the same predictions.

Among senior Democratic Congressional aides, less than half believe their party will hold onto their House of Representatives majority in the 2022 midterm elections, Breitbart reported. This was the first time Punchbowl News and Locust Street Group, which conducted the survey, saw a majority of Democrats believe the GOP would prevail.  

Republicans also believe there’s a good chance their party can take back the Senate as well with 51% optimistic about the prospect. If this were the case, President Joe Biden’s agenda would die in Congress and effectively thwart the radical takeover.

The party in power is usually vulnerable during midterm elections anyway as evidenced by the turnover during former President Barack Obama’s administration when Biden served as his vice president. However, this latest prediction is bolstered by the fact that the House is hemorrhaging lawmakers due to retirements and other departures. “It’s good to know there is bipartisan agreement that House Democrats’ majority is doomed,” Mike Berg, spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, said of the poll.

As it is, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi can only afford two Democratic defectors on any Republican legislation, according to CBS News. It’s no wonder those closest to the politicians would easily realize that the GOP could walk away with a majority.

The poll was conducted anonymously online between July 12 and 30. It reflects ongoing concerns like the retirements as well as problems like the scandal plaguing Rep. Ron Kind (D-WI) who allegedly profited off of a tenant’s obscene massage parlor.

“Members of Congress are the ones with the election certificates, but, in many cases, their aides hold outsized power,” Punchbowl News noted as its rationale for polling aides. “Senior staffers are the gatekeepers and, in many cases, the decision-makers.”

Much can happen between now and the midterm elections, as evidenced by the 2020 presidential election that was likely influenced by the global pandemic that emerged in March that year. However, it seems all signs are pointing to a victory for the GOP.

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