October 1, 2020

Can Trump Recover and Win in November?

Henry Olsen, a scholar from the Ethics and Public Policy Center in Washington, D.C., has a well-deserved reputation for on-target analysis on politics and elections.

Olsen just published a column in the Washington Post titled “Trump may be down, but he is not out. At least not yet.”

The bottom has fallen out of President Donald Trump’s approval ratings. Most recently, Gallup reports his approval at 39%, down 10 points from the month before.

According to Olsen, by conventional analysis, the outlook for a Trump victory in November is not good. “Presidents who polled this poorly less than five months before Election Day have always lost,” he wrote.

But how useful is conventional analysis now?

President Trump is not a conventional figure. These are not conventional times. And his polling has been like a roller coaster since he was elected.

The standard reelection campaign refrain is “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?”

President Trump ran on a theme: “Make America Great Again.” Voters will ask in November, “Is America greater today than four years ago?”

Here again, there is reason for concern.

Another new Gallup poll shows the percentage of Americans saying they are “extremely” or “very” proud of their country is the lowest ever, at 63%. This is 18 points lower than where it stood four years ago.

Gallup also now reports only 20% of Americans saying they are satisfied with the direction of the country. Just four months ago, in February, it stood at 45%, the highest it had stood in 15 years.

The first big drop in satisfaction occurred following the spread of COVID-19. Then, in May, it dropped 12 points following the death of George Floyd.

Last February, the economy was surging, as was Trump’s approval. Unemployment, including black unemployment, was at all-time lows.

Now Trump is being tarred, justifiably or not, with COVID-19 and racial unrest.

Can light enter the tunnel?

The May jobs report was strong, showing a drop in unemployment and 2.5 million new jobs. The economy is starting to roar back.

Most certainly, there will be some kind of bipartisan legislation dealing with policing. Demonstrations don’t go on forever. Time, plus action on policing, could take the edge off racial tensions.

A sharp economic recovery and easing of racial tensions can produce a bounce-back for Trump like he has seen in the past.

What is critical?

What motivated voters to go Republican in 2016 and swing six blue states red was the Make America Great Again message: freedom in the marketplace and draining the swamp in Washington.

The challenges are even greater now than then.

We are now looking at a $2 trillion-plus deficit. National debt now stands at 110% of our gross domestic product — the highest since World War II.

The answers to our COVID-19 recovery and our racial challenges must be freedom. Only freedom will open the door to innovation and respecting the humanity of every citizen.

It will be easy to go down the alternative road, where the nation’s left would like to take us — institutionalizing the massive surge of government to deal with COVID-19 and more government-mandated diversity as the answer to racial tensions. This will bog us down with socialism and slow growth, hurting the very people we supposedly want to help.

Let’s give credit to the American people. We’re facing different crises today. But dealing with the greatest crisis is the best way to deal with the other ones. That greatest crisis is choosing the right path for the nation’s future.

The candidate who conveys to voters a sense that America’s future will be defined by freedom, and a rule of law that respects the humanity of all and is carried out fairly and equally, is the candidate America’s majority will choose.

Star Parker is president of the Center for Urban Renewal and Education and author of the new book “Necessary Noise: How Donald Trump Inflames the Culture War and Why This is Good News for America.” Readers can respond to Star’s column by emailing [email protected]

COPYRIGHT 2020 CREATORS.COM

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25 Responses

  1. I DO NOT BELIEVE IN POLLS. I BELIEVE IN PROGRESS MADE BY OUR PRESIDENT. TRUTH AND HONESTRY WILL ALWAYS PREVAIL.

      1. Look what happened in 2016???
        Hillary was ahead by 8 points!!!!!
        Trump supporters are silent until the voting day!!!!

    1. Years ago, when I was in college, my statistics professor told our class that you can make statistics prove any point you want them to prove, just by manipulating the questions. That’s what the democraps are doing now. Election day will paint an entirely different picture, I think.

    2. Recover from what, he is doing a great job, trying to keep people safe and grow the ecomony, by returning people to work. This virus will hang around for along time, that was the plan in the first place, to kill the ecomony to beat Pres Trump. It’s all about the election in November. Politics as usual.

  2. Don’t believe these lies. You frickin low-life pricks need to shut the hell up. We are sick and tired of your crap and no one with any brain cells believe you.

  3. PRESIDENT TRUMP IS DOING GREAT. HE DIDN’T CREATE COVID-19. I HAVE NEVER SEEN ANOTHER PRESIDENT IN MY LIFETIME ACCOMPLISH SO MUCH FOR OUR COUNTRY EVEN WITH ALL THE RESISTANCE FROM THE DEMOCRATS AND THE MEDIA. THINK HOW MUCH MORE HE COULD ACCOMPLISH IF HE JUST GOT SOME COOPERATION FROM THEM. WE NEED TO PRAY AS CHRISTIANS FOR OUR PRESIDENT. HE IS A VERY STRONG MAN AND VERY INTELLIGENT. I AM A RETIRED 26 YEAR COMBAT 100% DISABLED VIETNAM VETERAN AND I APPRECIATE WHAT HE HAS DONE AND WHAT HE CONTINUES TO DO FOR OUR VETERANS AND MILITARY. GOD BLESS AMERICA AND GOD BLESS OUR PRESIDENT. MAGA

    1. Wayne, I completely agree with you, Our President has proven time and again he is great under pressure and obstructive democrats, and he is a multi-tasker, unlike the democrats, who spent 4 years doing nothing but try to Impeach our President, but guess what, their investigations are right around the corner!!

  4. I think we need to take a look at the Congress before you go spouting off about our President. Congress is where the problem is, and that needs a major cleaning out before we will see this country rebound from a crazy, unrealistic bunch of fools and idiots that call themselves American. They are no more American than a dog in a homeless shelter. So be careful who you put the blame on, or be left in the dust. Your choice!

  5. Thank you! It is so nice to hear from a veteran who has benefited from President Trump’s actions! And yes, I can imagine a new stronger America if he had not had all the opposition he has endured! God bless him! He is an amazing man!

  6. How could you expect that Pres Trump could pass the correct things for this country when part of his Repub team is being bought off by the other full of hate bunch. If Pres Trump said tomorrow is Wed the DevilsRats would find a flaw in it ramp up against it and ther push for a faux impeachment while trying to pass a socialist bill to suite them for that God almighty vote they won’t get. No other Pres, and I’m 85 has ever had a whole socialist party and a dirt bag of RINOS against him plus a media who is fully against him. Under these circumstances Pres Trump is slowly making America great again,just think where we would be were the crooked bought by Nazi Soros and the others who hate as he won’t fall for their crooked political ways how Great America Could of actually began to be after a 8 year try at splitting our country up.

    1. Soros is already funding Democratic
      Ads, rioting puppets who get all stoked
      up and go crazy and tear properties up
      and loot merchandise!! The sad part is that there’s no way to stop them.
      We need to UNITE and Stand Tall!🙏🏻🇺🇸

  7. I AGREE WITH WAYNE!
    OUR PRESIDENT HAS FACED MORE CHALLENGES THAN ANT OTHER PRESIDENT TO DATE!
    HE’S BEEN STRONG, DECISIVE, RESPONSIBLE AND ABOVE ALL ETHICAL. IF HE HAD WANTED TO PLAY THE
    POLITICAL GAME, HE WOULD NEVER HAVE CHOSEN TO BECOME PRESIDENT OF OUR COUNTRY……ESPECIALLY A
    ‘NON-SALARIED’ ONE!
    WE, AS AMERICANS SHOULD BE APPOLOGIZING TO HIM EVERYDAY! THE WAY THE PRESS AND THE SO-CALLED ” POOR UNEMPLOYED” ACT……THEY SHOULD GET OUT AND WORK AS HARD AS HE HAS…..THEN THEY WOULD BE AS RICH AS HE BECAME BEFORE ALL THIS “OPPORTUNITY”. YOU KNOW, HE COULD “WALK” AND BE A LOT BETTER OFF.

  8. Don’t believe in polls. It’s propaganda 101 by the communists. Donald Trump will beat communist Joe like a drum. If we had a judicial system worth a damn in this country, communist Joe and the rest of his comrades would be in prison.

    1. WE agree with you, Barry.(not the communist Barry). Trump is God send. We should thank Trump everyday for taking this job as POTUS. TRUMP DOES NOT THIS JOB. OBAMA ENRICHED HIMSELF.

  9. I vote for those that produce results. The left is trying to leaf us to a 1000′ clift with sharp rocks at the bottom. Trump is far from perfect but has demonstrated he can produce positive results. A lot can happen in 5 months, good & bad. We shall see.

  10. I agree with Wayne. No other president in my time has EVER had to deal with one crisis after another and the worst part is, most of the problems stem from the Democrats. They have tried impeachment, riots, lies and schemes because they don’t want him as a president. Whatever happened to respect for the position this man holds? This country will be ruined and destroyed if the Democrats win and you can kiss your freedoms goodbye. Thank you Mr. Trump for your stalwart stand and may God continue to bless you.

  11. Congress is the problem NOT President Trump! Drain the Washington swamp , set term limits , take away the ridiculous severance packages they get and make them all repay into social security!!!

  12. So many of these polls are rigged. They poll and decide which entry they choose to use. For Shame of you
    our President Trump has been lied on, treated unfairly, and still he presses on to make America the Great
    Country it is. Thank you President Trump and many folks are praying for you. Keep up the good work.

  13. Polls that show Trump behind are Democrats polling only Democrats with only a few Rep thrown in. Only way they can try to convince voters Biden can win. Changing my vote this election to REPUBLICAN. DEMOCRATS have proven ,to me anyway,they are leaning towards communists tendencies. Just do as I say not as I do.

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