Will the 2020 presidential election end like 2016, with the Democrats’ wailing and gnashing of teeth?
Democrat nominee Joe Biden’s campaign manager, Jen O’Malley Dillon, must think so. She recently confessed to the Democratic contender’s supporters that his double-digit polling leads are “inflated.”
“Please take the fact that we are not ahead by double digits,” Dillon urged supporters during Friday’s grassroots campaign summit. “Those are inflated national public polling numbers.”
New York Times reporter Shane Goldmacher preserved Dillon’s caveat with his live-tweeting during the event, but the videoconference playback is unavailable on the campaign website.
Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon, in grassroots summit, emphasizes that their polling does NOT show a double-digit lead nationally.
“Please take the fact that we are not ahead by double digits”
“Those are inflated national public polling numbers” pic.twitter.com/v95za3XRGZ
— Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) October 16, 2020
Repeating Their Mistakes
Biden is besting GOP President Donald Trump in polling and fundraising. A CNN poll had Biden 16 points ahead while a New York Times compilation suggested a more modest Biden victory hovering just above 10 points across most polls. Democrats are also funneling twice as much cash to their candidate, with CNBC reporting that Biden is “crushing” Trump in fundraising.
However, the story is unfolding just like 2016. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was ahead in just about every poll right up until Election Day, according to RealClearPolitics. Just as now, Trump raised roughly half of the nearly $1.2 billion his Democratic opponent raked in during the 2016 race, Bloomberg reported. Maybe that’s why Dillon was trying to warn Biden’s supporters.
The Enthusiasm Gap
Nobody is excited about Joe Biden, and the “social distancing” cover story can’t hide it. Americans are coming out in droves for Trump, but Biden can’t draw flies.
Radio host Mark Simone tweeted a split-screen photo comparison in a tale of two campaigns event. Biden’s event is sparsely attended while Trump’s is mobbed with thousands of revelers.
Yesterday’s Biden rally vs. yesterday’s Trump rally: pic.twitter.com/JfEDEe27BY
— MARK SIMONE (@MarkSimoneNY) October 13, 2020
Democrats assume they have the upper hand with a global pandemic, but supporters should heed the Biden campaign’s own words about relying on “inflated” poll numbers. The palpable hubris that made Clinton’s defeat so deliciously satisfying is evident again, and Biden’s fall is shaping up to be just as spectacular.